Thu, Nov 14, 2019 | Rob Otto
2019-11-17 -- According to our model, the Saints predicted to over perform on the road against the Buccaneers with a 71.5% chance to win.
The Saints are estimated to score 23.2 points on the road. The Saints are predicted from the model to throw for 322.3 yards on 50.2 attempts for 31.7 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.9 touchdowns and 1.9 interceptions. The Saints are predicted to run for 107.7 yards on 26.7 attempts with an estimated 0.6 touchdowns.
The Buccaneers have an average of 13.8 points in our model for the game. The Buccaneers are expected to throw for 1.1 touchdown with 39.2 pass attempts with 21.3 competitions for 235.3 yards, and an estimated 0.2 interceptions. The model estimates the Buccaneers will run on 20.3 attempts against the Saints with an estimated total of 75.0 yards and 0.3 rushing touchdowns.
For this game, the Saints are the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 71.5% probability to beat the -6.0 point spread. With a predicted 62.9% likelihood and -110 odds at 50.5 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Thu, November 14, 2019 13:05:20 UTC