Saints Led by Their Offense at Home Expected to Beat the Falcons

Thu, Nov 7, 2019 | Rob Otto

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2019-11-10 -- The Saints have a 78.8% chance of winning at home against the Falcons according to the Snoozle Sports football montecarlo model.

At home, the Saints are forecast to score 29.3 points. The Snoozle football model estimates the Saints will throw 36.7 competitions on 49.1 attempts against the Falcons with an estimated 2.0 interceptions for a total of 375.9 yards and 2.6 passing touchdowns. The Saints are predicted from the model to run for 0.7 touchdowns against Falcons with 28.1 rush attempts for 107.8 yards.

On the road, the Falcons are forecast to score 14.3 points against Saints. Our model forecasts Falcons will pass for 1.3 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions against the Saints defense on a forecasted 25.1 competitions with 40.4 attempts for 273.5 yards. The Falcons are estimated from the model to rush for 0.2 touchdowns against Saints with 18.7 rush attempts for 53.6 yards.

The Saints are the best value for the ATS based on a predicted 54.8% estimated to cover a -12.5 spread. With an over/under of 51.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 54.6% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Thu, November 7, 2019 13:05:09 UTC