Saints Forecasted to Lose at Home to Odds Underdog Bears

Sat, Oct 31, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-11-01 -- The Saints has an estimated 76.7% likelihood to lose to the Bears based on our model.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Saints have an average of 9.6 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts Saints will throw 19.9 competitions on 36.2 attempts against the Bears with a forecasted 0.4 interceptions for a total of 178.0 yards and 0.6 touchdowns. The Saints are estimated from the model to rush for 0.3 touchdowns against Bears with 23.3 rush attempts for 97.9 yards.

In their hometown, the Bears are forecast to score 21.7 points. Our model forecasts the Bears will pass for 1.6 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions against the Saints defense on a projected 29.1 competitions with 48.4 attempts for 299.3 passing yards. Our model forecasts the Bears will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the Saints defense on 26.2 attempts for a projected 95.3 yards.

With an estimated 85.8% likelihood to pass a +4.5 spread, the best value is on the Bears over the Saints against the spread. The over/under line of 43.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 60.0% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Sat, October 31, 2020 13:09:24 UTC