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Royals Hurler Jake Junis Expected Loser at Home Against Tigers

Wed, Sep 4, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Edwin Jackson
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

September 4, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, the Royals have a 51.99% take a home loss against the Tigers.

The hosting Royals have Jake Junis in the rotation against the Tigers's pitcher Edwin Jackson. The Royals starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.959 outs, allow 2.504 earned runs, and a 0.014 probability of a complete game. The Tigers starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.977 outs, allow 2.365 earned runs, and a 0.015 probability of a complete game.

Jorge Soler, Royals's top hitter, will slug it out against Jordy Mercer in today's game. Jorge Soler RF is forecast to bat for 0.245 with 0.687 RBIs and 0.633 runs scored. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Jordy Mercer is predicted to bat for 0.281 with 0.475 RBIs and 0.480 runs scored.

According to the +190 ML away odds and an predicted 51.99% chance to win, the Tigers are the best value for the money line. The over/under line of 9.5 runs with -105 over odds and a predicted 63.97% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Wed, September 4, 2019 13:03:54 UTC