Royals Forecasted to Lose at Home to Twins Despite Jorge Soler's Effort

Sun, Sep 22, 2019 | Emma Botos


Jorge Soler
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

September 22, 2019 -- On the road, the Royals has a 69.08% chance to lose to the Twins from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

Likely starting pitcher for the Royals, Jorge Lopez, will be paired with the hosting Twins's pitcher Martin Perez. The Snoozle model estimates the Royals pitcher will have an outing for 6.063 innings, allowing 3.601 earned runs, with 2.892 walks. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Martin Perez will have 2.890 earned runs, a predicted 21.096 outs, and 7.266 strike outs.

The Royals's Jorge Soler and the Twins's Mitch Garver will slug it out from the plate. The Royals's Jorge Soler RF from the plate is forecast to score 0.774 runs, 0.821 RBIs and have a 0.355 OBP. Based on the Snoozle model, Mitch Garver is predicted to have 1.093 RBIs and score 1.102 runs over an estimated 4.600 at-bats.

There is no best value for Royals +193 at Twins -226 matchup based on our model's game predictions. With an over/under of 10.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 64.10% over likelihood and -119 odds.

Posted at Sun, September 22, 2019 13:05:38 UTC