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Rockies's Starting Pitcher German Marquez with a Predicted Win Over the Odds Favorite Yankees

Sun, Jul 21, 2019 | Emma Botos

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James Paxton
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

July 21, 2019 -- According to our model, the Rockies predicted to over perform on the road against the Yankees with a 63.57% chance to win.

The Rockies have German Marquez as the probable starting pitcher against James Paxton. The Rockies's German Marquez is predicted to throw for 6.641 innings, allowing 2.338 earned runs, with 7.200 Ks. The Snoozle MLB model estimates James Paxton will have 3.429 earned runs, a predicted 20.400 outs, and 6.840 strike outs.

Charlie Blackmon, Rockies's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Aaron Judge in today's game. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Charlie Blackmon is predicted to bat for 0.321 with 0.861 RBIs and 0.934 runs scored. The Yankees's Aaron Judge RF is estimated to score 0.684 runs, 0.641 RBIs and have a 0.399 OBP.

According to the +175 ML away odds and an predicted 63.57% chance to win, the Rockies are the best value for the money line. Based on the over(-120)/under(+100) odds, the 10.0 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Sun, July 21, 2019 08:14:01 MST