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Rockies's Starting Pitcher Antonio Senzatela with a Predicted Win Over the Odds Favorite Cardinals
Sun, Aug 25, 2019 | Emma Botos
Cardinal Hurler Michael Wacha in 2017.
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August 25, 2019 -- The Rockies with a 54.75% forecasted chance to beat the Cardinals on the road based on the Snoozle model.
Likely starting pitcher for the Rockies, Antonio Senzatela, will be paired with the hosting Cardinals's pitcher Michael Wacha. The Rockies starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 19.840 outs, allow 3.438 earned runs, and a 0.002 probability of a complete game. Our model forecasts the Cardinals pitcher will have an outing for 6.037 innings, allowing 3.694 earned runs, with a 2.911 walk.
The Rockies's Charlie Blackmon and the Cardinals's Marcell Ozuna will slug it out from the plate. Charlie Blackmon is forecast to bring in 1.065 RBIs and 1.133 runs scored, with an 0.413 OBP and 0.936 Ks. Based on the Snoozle model, Marcell Ozuna is predicted to have 0.999 RBIs and score 0.853 runs over an estimated 4.367 at-bats.
For this game the Rockies are the best value on the money line bets with on the +150 away odds and a predicted 54.75% likelihood to win. With an over/under of 9.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 74.90% over likelihood and -120 odds.
Posted at Sun, August 25, 2019 13:04:25 UTC