Reds Led By Pitcher Tyler Mahle on the Road Predicted to Beat the Pirates

Sun, Sep 29, 2019 | Emma Botos


Trevor Williams of the Pittsburgh Pirates, April 15, 2017.
D. Benjamin Miller License

September 29, 2019 -- According to our model, the Reds predicted to over perform on the road against the Pirates with a 69.02% chance to win.

Likely visiting starter Tyler Mahle will will duel it out with the Pirates probable starter Trevor Williams. The Snoozle model estimates the Reds pitcher will have an outing for 6.828 innings, allowing 2.123 earned runs, with 2.227 walks. The Pirates starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.177 outs, allow 2.694 earned runs, and a 0.009 probability of a complete game.

The Reds's Aristides Aquino and the Pirates's Jose Osuna will slug it out from the plate. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Aristides Aquino is predicted to bat for 0.278 with 0.999 RBIs and 0.747 runs scored. Jose Osuna is forecast to bat for 0.252 with 0.564 RBIs and 0.453 runs scored.

The Reds are the best value for the money line based on the -144 odds and a forecasted 69.02% win estimate. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-112)/under(-107) odds, the 8.5 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.

Posted at Sun, September 29, 2019 13:04:37 UTC