Reds Led By Pitcher Luis Castillo on the Road Predicted to Beat the Diamondbacks

Fri, Sep 13, 2019 | Emma Botos


Mike Leake
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

September 13, 2019 -- The Reds are predicted with a 54.27% for a road win against the Diamondbacks.

This game is a match up between the Reds's Luis Castillo and the Diamondbacks's Mike Leake. The Snoozle model estimates the Reds pitcher will have an outing for 6.733 innings, allowing 2.267 earned runs, with 3.193 walks. The Diamondbacks starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.706 outs, allow 2.446 earned runs, and a 0.013 probability of a complete game.

Expected in today's lineup will be top hitters Aristides Aquino and Ketel Marte from Reds and Diamondbacks, respectively. Aristides Aquino is forecast to bring in 0.978 RBIs and 0.726 runs scored, with an 0.326 OBP and 1.144 Ks. According to our game model, Ketel Marte is estimated to bring in 0.623 RBIs and 0.653 runs scored, with an 0.358 OBP and 0.675 Ks.

Based on the odds and win probabilities, there is no good value on the money line for the Reds -122 at Diamondbacks +108 game. Based on the prediction model's over 52.77% likelihood and +105 odds, the over line with 8.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Fri, September 13, 2019 13:05:06 UTC