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Reds Led By Pitcher Alex Wood on the Road Predicted to Beat the Pirates

Sat, Aug 24, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Starting pitcher Alex Wood at Trustmark Park in Pearl, Mississippi pitching for the AA affiliate of the Atlanta Braves.
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August 24, 2019 -- The Reds are predicted with a 51.85% for a road win against the Pirates.

On the mound for the Reds will be Alex Wood matched up against Trevor Williams. The Reds starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 20.614 outs, allow 3.115 earned runs, and a 0.004 probability of a complete game. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Trevor Williams will have 2.832 earned runs, a predicted 20.738 outs, and 6.802 strike outs.

Aristides Aquino, Reds's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Jose Osuna in today's game. Aristides Aquino is forecast to bring in 1.232 RBIs and 0.920 runs scored, with an 0.380 OBP and 1.161 K. Based on the Snoozle model, Jose Osuna is predicted to have 0.793 RBIs and score 0.705 runs over an estimated 4.243 at-bats.

Based on the odds and win probabilities, there is no good value on the money line for the Reds -110 at Pirates -100 game. Based on the prediction model's over 63.05% likelihood and -105 odds, the over line with 9.0 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sat, August 24, 2019 13:03:44 UTC