Advertisement
Red Sox Led By Pitcher Rick Porcello on the Road Predicted to Beat the Phillies
Sun, Sep 15, 2019 | Emma Botos
Rick Porcello
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License
September 15, 2019 -- The Red Sox are predicted with a 52.13% for a road win against the Phillies.
Likely visiting starter Rick Porcello will will duel it out with the Phillies probable starter Jason Vargas. The Snoozle model estimates the Red Sox pitcher will have an outing for 6.443 innings, allowing 2.780 earned runs, with 2.993 walks. Jason Vargas is estimated from the model to throw for 6.541 innings, allowing 2.822 earned runs, with 5.707 Ks.
The Red Sox's Rafael Devers and the Phillies's J.T. Realmuto will slug it out from the plate. According to our game model, Rafael Devers is estimated to have 0.686 RBIs and score 0.688 runs over an estimated 4.568 at-bats. The Phillies's J.T. Realmuto is estimated to score 0.689 runs, 0.643 RBIs and have a 0.336 OBP.
Based on the odds and win probabilities, there is no good value on the money line for the Red Sox -110 at Phillies -102 game. With a predicted 53.31% likelihood and -105 odds at 10.5 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Sun, September 15, 2019 13:04:38 UTC