Red Sox Hurler Jhoulys Chacin Expected Loser at Home Against Orioles

Sat, Sep 28, 2019 | Emma Botos


The Baltimore Orioles visit the United States Naval Academy in March 2019 This file is a work of a sailor or employee of the U.S. Navy, taken or made as part of that person's official duties. As a work of the U.S. federal government, it is in the public domain in the United States.
United States Naval Academy License

September 28, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, the Red Sox have a 61.05% take a home loss against the Orioles.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Red Sox's Jhoulys Chacin and the Orioles's John Means. Jhoulys Chacin is estimated from the model to throw for 6.564 innings, allowing 2.610 earned runs, with 6.736 Ks. The Orioles's John Means is predicted to throw for 6.893 innings, allowing 2.139 earned runs, with 5.488 Ks.

Rafael Devers, Red Sox's top hitter, will slug it out against Trey Mancini in today's game. According to our game model, Rafael Devers is estimated to bring in 0.533 RBIs and 0.559 runs scored, with an 0.317 OBP and 0.789 Ks. According to our game model, Trey Mancini is estimated to have 0.728 RBIs and score 0.650 runs over an estimated 4.314 at-bats.

With +148 money line odds and a estimated 61.05% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Orioles over the Red Sox. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 66.57% over estimate and +100 line odds for 10.5 runs.

Posted at Sat, September 28, 2019 13:05:13 UTC