Red Sox's Starting Hurler Rick Porcello with a Forecasted Win Over the Rangers

Wed, Sep 25, 2019 | Emma Botos


Rick Porcello
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

September 25, 2019 -- On the road, the Red Sox take the Rangers for a 51.17% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle MLB model.

On the mound for the Red Sox will be Rick Porcello matched up against Kolby Allard. The Red Sox starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.529 outs, allow 2.620 earned runs, and a 0.011 probability of a complete game. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Kolby Allard will have 2.733 earned runs, a predicted 21.236 outs, and 6.342 strike outs.

Sluggers J.D. Martinez from the Red Sox and Willie Calhoun from the Rangers will lead the their teams from the batter's box. According to our game model, J.D. Martinez is estimated to have 0.905 RBIs and score 0.684 runs over an estimated 4.118 at-bats. Willie Calhoun NA is forecast to bat for 0.271 with 0.743 RBIs and 0.613 runs scored.

The Rangers are the best value for the money line based on the +139 odds and a predicted 48.83% win estimate. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 71.40% over estimate and -114 line odds for 12.0 runs.

Posted at Wed, September 25, 2019 13:05:25 UTC