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Rays Predicted to Fall at Home to Underdog Red Sox Despite Brandon Lowe's Effort
Mon, Sep 23, 2019 | Emma Botos
Blake Snell (left) and Wilson Ramos of the Tampa Bay Rays wearing Mothers' Day uniforms before a game against the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards in Baltimore in 2018
Keith Allison: Flickr, e-mail, Twitter, Instagram, website License
September 23, 2019 -- The Rays change of losing to the Red Sox is 51.92% based on our model.
Probable starting pitchers Blake Snell and Jhoulys Chacin duel it out for the Rays and Red Sox, respectively. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Blake Snell will have 2.336 earned runs, a predicted 22.017 outs, and 5.383 strike outs. The Red Sox starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 22.104 outs, allow 2.226 earned runs, and a 0.019 probability of a complete game.
Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Brandon Lowe and J.D. Martinez from Rays and Red Sox, respectively. The Rays's Brandon Lowe is estimated to score 0.505 runs, 0.656 RBIs and have a 0.317 OBP. The Red Sox's J.D. Martinez from the plate is forecast to score 0.568 runs, 0.725 RBIs and have a 0.363 OBP.
With +175 money line odds and a estimated 51.92% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Red Sox over the Rays. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 53.70% over estimate and -109 line odds for 8.5 runs.
Posted at Mon, September 23, 2019 13:03:53 UTC