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Rays Led By Pitcher Charlie Morton at Home Expected to Beat the Indians

Sun, Sep 1, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Charlie Morton pitching for the Astros on September 30, 2018.
Keith Allison License

September 1, 2019 -- In a matchup between hitters Austin Meadows and Francisco Lindor, our model estimates the Rays have an estimated 52.06% likelihood of defeating the Indians.

The hosting Rays have Charlie Morton in the rotation against the Indians's pitcher Adam Plutko. Our model forecasts the Rays pitcher will have an outing for 7.006 innings, allowing 1.873 earned runs, with a 2.407 walks. Adam Plutko is estimated to have 2.031 earned runs, 22.277 outs, and 7.063 strike outs.

The Rays's Eric Sogard and the Indians's Carlos Santana will duel it out from the batter's box. Eric Sogard 2B is forecast to bat for 0.265 with 0.387 RBIs and 0.566 runs scored. Carlos Santana 1B is forecast to bring in 0.493 RBIs and 0.505 runs scored, with an 0.362 OBP and 0.685 Ks.

The Indians are the best value for the money line based on the +170 odds and a forecasted 47.94% win estimate. With a predicted 65.55% likelihood and -105 odds at 8.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Sun, September 1, 2019 13:04:25 UTC