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Sun, Jul 21, 2019 | Emma Botos
Blake Snell (left) and Wilson Ramos of the Tampa Bay Rays wearing Mothers' Day uniforms before a game against the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards in Baltimore in 2018
Keith Allison: Flickr, e-mail, Twitter, Instagram, website License
July 21, 2019 -- In a matchup between hitters Austin Meadows and Yoan Moncada, our model estimates the Rays have an estimated 63.26% likelihood of defeating the White Sox.
On the mound for the Rays will be Blake Snell paired against Dylan Cease. The Rays starting hurler is predicted to throw for 22.064 outs, allow 2.246 earned runs, and a 0.016 probability of a complete game. The White Sox starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 20.774 outs, allow 2.905 earned runs, and a 0.005 probability of a complete game.
The Rays's Nathaniel Lowe and the White Sox's Jose Abreu will duel it out from the batter's box. According to our game model, Nathaniel Lowe 1B is estimated to bring in 0.813 RBIs and 0.668 runs scored, with an 0.361 OBP and 1.277 Ks. The White Sox's Jose Abreu 1B from the plate is forecast to score 0.524 runs, 0.672 RBIs and have a 0.300 OBP.
According to the +230 ML away odds and an predicted 36.74% chance to win, the White Sox are the best value for the money line. According to prediction model the 57.42% over estimate and -105 line odds for 8.0 runs, the over line is the best value.
Posted at Sun, July 21, 2019 08:14:01 MST