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Rangers Forecasted to Lose at Home to Indians Despite Willie Calhoun's Effort

Tue, Aug 6, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Luis Urias (left) of the San Antonio Missions and Ariel Jurado of the Frisco RoughRiders during the 2017 Texas League All-Star Game
Flickr user Th3TruthPhotos License

August 6, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle MLB model, the Rangers are likely to fail on the road with a 69.48% chance of being correct against the Indians.

On the mound for the Rangers will be Ariel Jurado matched up against Zach Plesac. Ariel Jurado is estimated to have 3.030 earned runs, 20.632 outs, and 4.751 strike outs. Zach Plesac is estimated from the model to throw for 6.963 innings, allowing 2.042 earned runs, with 7.794 Ks.

In a hitting matchup, Willie Calhoun of the Rangers will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Francisco Lindor. Willie Calhoun NA is forecast to bring in 0.614 RBIs and 0.461 run scored, with an 0.281 OBP and 0.888 Ks. Francisco Lindor is forecast to bat for 0.313 with 0.702 RBIs and 0.807 runs scored.

With -190 money line odds and a forecasted 69.48% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Indians over the Rangers. The over/under line of 10.5 runs with -115 over odds and a predicted 58.40% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Tue, August 6, 2019 13:04:06 UTC