Purdue with a Predicted Home Win Over Illinois

Tue, Oct 22, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-10-26 -- The Snoozle Sports football prediction model estimates Purdue to take the home win over Illinois with a 59.1% estimate of being correct.

At home, Purdue is forecast to score 26.0 points. Purdue is estimated from the model to throw for 408.1 yards on 47.8 attempts for 30.5 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 2.4 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions. The model estimates Purdue will run on 27.4 attempts against Illinois with an estimated total of 94.0 yards and 0.6 rushing touchdowns.

Illinois is predicted to score 21.7 points against their opponent. Illinois is forecast to pass for 1.4 touchdowns on 37.7 pass attempts with 21.4 competitions for 254.2 yards, and a predicted 1.3 interceptions. The model predicts Illinois will rush on 37.0 attempts against Purdue with an estimated total of 186.3 yards and 1.0 running touchdowns.

For this game, Illinois is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 40.9% probability to beat the +7.5 point spread. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 57.5 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.

Posted at Tue, October 22, 2019 13:01:05 UTC