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Sat, Oct 24, 2020 | Consuelo Machina
2020-10-24 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, Purdue is predicted with a 75.6% to lose at home against Iowa.
Purdue is predicted to score 21.2 points on the home turf against Iowa. Our model forecasts Purdue will pass for 1.7 touchdowns and 2.1 interception against the Iowa defense on a projected 26.4 competitions with 31.8 attempts for 273.0 passing yards. Purdue is forecast to rush for 135.0 yards on 31.4 attempts with an estimated 0.7 rushing touchdowns.
Based on the montecarlo model, Iowa has an average of 35.6 points for the game. Iowa is predicted from the model to throw for 416.1 yards on 40.3 attempts for 34.6 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 3.0 touchdowns and 1.5 interceptions. Our model forecasts Iowa will rush for 1.5 touchdowns against the Purdue defense on 39.8 attempts for a projected 204.9 yards.
Iowa is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 71.4% likelihood estimate to cover a -3.5 point spread. According to prediction model the 84.3% over estimate and -110 line odds for 52.5 runs, the over line is the best value.
Posted at Sat, October 24, 2020 13:01:18 UTC