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Pirates Predicted to Fall at Home to Reds Despite Josh Bell's Effort
Fri, Aug 23, 2019 | Emma Botos
Anthony DeSclafani
Erik Drost on Flickr License
August 23, 2019 -- The Pirates have a 75.01% likelihood to fall to the Reds with a based on our model.
Probable starting pitchers Mitch Keller and Anthony DeSclafani duel it out for the Pirates and Reds, respectively. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Mitch Keller will have 4.104 earned runs, a predicted 19.057 outs, and 6.943 strike outs. The Reds's Anthony DeSclafani is predicted to throw for 6.518 innings, allowing 2.831 earned runs, with 5.583 Ks.
In a hitting matchup, Josh Bell of the Pirates will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Aristides Aquino. The Pirates's Josh Bell is estimated to score 0.675 runs, 0.780 RBIs and have a 0.356 OBP. According to our game model, Aristides Aquino is estimated to have 1.607 RBIs and score 1.261 run over an estimated 4.615 at-bats.
The Reds are the best value for the money line based on the -105 odds and a forecasted 75.01% win estimate. With an over/under of 9.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 73.85% over likelihood and -115 odds.
Posted at Fri, August 23, 2019 13:03:44 UTC