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Phillies Led By Pitcher Drew Smyly on the Road Predicted to Beat the Giants
Fri, Aug 9, 2019 | Emma Botos
Drew Smyly
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License
August 9, 2019 -- The Phillies with a 50.75% forecasted chance to beat the Giants on the road based on the Snoozle model.
This game is a match up between the Phillies's Drew Smyly and the Giants's Tyler Beede. The Phillies starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 19.606 outs, allow 3.252 earned runs, and a 0.002 probability of a complete game. Tyler Beede is estimated from the model to throw for 6.276 innings, allowing 3.022 earned runs, with 7.855 Ks.
In a hitting matchup, Jay Bruce of the Phillies will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Stephen Vogt. According to our game model, Jay Bruce RF is estimated to have 0.977 RBIs and score 0.739 runs over an estimated 4.264 at-bats. Based on the Snoozle model, Stephen Vogt is predicted to have 0.868 RBIs and score 0.851 run over an estimated 4.439 at-bats.
There is no best value for Phillies -110 at Giants +100 matchup based on our model's game predictions. With an over/under of 8.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 73.47% over likelihood and -120 odds.
Posted at Fri, August 9, 2019 13:06:57 UTC