Phillies Hurler Zach Eflin Forecasted Loser at Home Against Braves

Wed, Sep 11, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Zach Eflin of the Philadelphia Phillies, July 16, 2016.
D. Benjamin Miller License

September 11, 2019 -- The Phillies have a 52.00% likelihood to fall to the Braves with a based on our model.

Likely starting pitcher Zach Eflin for the Phillies will be matched up with the Braves probable starter Dallas Keuchel. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Zach Eflin will have 2.853 earned runs, a predicted 20.870 outs, and 5.822 strike outs. Dallas Keuchel is estimated to have 2.938 earned runs, 20.886 outs, and 7.224 strike outs.

Hitters Corey Dickerson from the Phillies and Freddie Freeman from the Braves will lead the offense for their teams. Based on the Snoozle model, Corey Dickerson is predicted to have 0.806 RBIs and score 0.593 runs over an estimated 4.409 at-bats. Freddie Freeman 1B is forecast to bring in 0.798 RBIs and 0.755 runs scored, with an 0.391 OBP and 0.881 K.

With +120 money line odds and a forecasted 48.00% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Phillies over the Braves. According to prediction model the 61.29% over estimate and -120 line odds for 9.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Wed, September 11, 2019 13:04:46 UTC