Phillies Hurler Jason Vargas Forecasted Loser at Home Against Braves

Tue, Sep 10, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Max Fried and Bryse Wilson of the Atlanta Braves before a game at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia in 2019
Ian D'Andrea on Flickr License

September 10, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Phillies are predicted with a 50.30% to lose at home against the Braves.

Likely starting pitcher Jason Vargas for the Phillies will be matched up with the Braves probable starter Max Fried. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Jason Vargas will have 2.620 earned runs, a predicted 21.137 outs, and 6.114 strike outs. The Braves's Max Fried is predicted to throw for 6.470 innings, allowing 2.813 earned runs, with 6.333 Ks.

Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Corey Dickerson and Freddie Freeman from Phillies and Braves, respectively. According to our game model, Corey Dickerson is estimated to bring in 0.813 RBIs and 0.581 run scored, with an 0.316 OBP and 1.063 Ks. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Freddie Freeman 1B is predicted to bat for 0.280 with 0.718 RBIs and 0.719 runs scored.

Based on the +150 odds and an estimated 49.70% chance to win, the Phillies are the best value for the money line. According to prediction model the 51.67% over estimate and -105 line odds for 9.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, September 10, 2019 13:05:00 UTC