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Phillies Forecasted to Lose at Home to Diamondbacks Despite Corey Dickerson's Effort
Wed, Aug 7, 2019 | Emma Botos
Jason Vargas
Jeff Dunn on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License
August 7, 2019 -- On the road, the Phillies has a 54.83% chance to lose to the Diamondbacks from our Snoozle montecarlo model.
Likely starting pitcher for the Phillies, Jason Vargas, will be paired with the hosting Diamondbacks's pitcher Zac Gallen. The Phillies starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.594 outs, allow 2.595 earned runs, and a 0.010 probability of a complete game. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Zac Gallen will have 2.322 earned runs, a predicted 21.913 outs, and 5.875 strike outs.
In a hitting matchup, Corey Dickerson of the Phillies will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Jarrod Dyson. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Corey Dickerson is predicted to bat for 0.277 with 0.473 RBIs and 0.607 runs scored. The Diamondbacks's Jarrod Dyson CF is estimated to score 0.703 runs, 0.616 RBIs and have a 0.358 OBP.
For this game Phillies are the best value on the money line bets with on the +135 away odds and a predicted 45.17% likelihood to win. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 57.72% over estimate and -120 line odds for 9.5 runs.
Posted at Wed, August 7, 2019 21:56:07 MST