Penn State with a Predicted Home Win Over Michigan

Tue, Oct 15, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-10-19 -- Penn State has a 69.5% chance of winning at home against Michigan according to the Snoozle Sports football montecarlo model.

Penn State is predicted to score 23.0 points on the home turf against Michigan. Penn State is estimated from the model to throw for 273.0 yards on 33.5 attempts for 22.5 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.4 touchdowns and 0.7 interceptions. Our model forecasts Penn State will rush for 1.1 touchdown against the Michigan defense on 47.1 attempts for a projected 191.0 yards.

The Snoozle model forecast Michigan to score 15.3 points on the road. Michigan is forecast to pass for 1.0 touchdowns on 34.6 pass attempts with 17.9 competitions for 219.5 yards, and a predicted 1.1 interception. Michigan is estimated from the model to rush for 0.4 touchdowns against Penn State with 33.9 rush attempts for 86.1 yards.

Based on the odds and probabilities to cover the spread, there is no good value on the ATS for Michigan (+9.0) at Penn State game. According to prediction model the 56.9% over estimate and -110 line odds for 45.0 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, October 15, 2019 17:03:34 UTC