Sat, Dec 5, 2020 | Consuelo Machina
2020-12-05 -- According to our model, Penn State predicted to over perform on the road against Rutgers with a 73.0% chance to win.
Penn State is predicted to score 40.2 points against their opponent. Penn State is forecast to pass for 3.5 touchdowns on 43.6 pass attempts with 36.2 competitions for 468.3 yards, and a predicted 1.4 interceptions. The model predicts Penn State will rush on 43.7 attempts against Rutgers with an estimated total of 224.3 yards and 1.6 running touchdowns.
At home, Rutgers is forecast to score 25.1 points. Rutgers is expected to throw for 2.1 touchdown with 33.1 pass attempts with 27.7 competitions for 333.9 yards, and an estimated 1.8 interceptions. Our model forecasts Rutgers will rush for 0.8 touchdowns against the Penn State defense on 33.4 attempts for a projected 121.2 yards.
Based on a predicted 56.9% probability to cover a -11.5 spread, Penn State is the best value for the ATS bets. With an over/under of 52.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 94.7% over likelihood and -110 odds.
Posted at Sat, December 5, 2020 13:00:27 UTC