Patriots with a Forecasted Win Over the Bills

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-09-29 -- The Patriots has an predicted 52.7% chance for a road over the Bills.

The Patriots are estimated to score 17.5 points on the road. The Patriots are predicted from the model to throw for 233.0 yards on 41.8 attempts for 22.9 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.3 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Patriots will rush for 0.4 touchdowns against the Bills defense on 20.0 attempts for a projected 75.2 yards.

In their hometown, the Bills are forecast to score 15.9 points. Our model forecasts the Bills will pass for 1.1 touchdown and 2.0 interceptions against the Patriots defense on a projected 21.9 competitions with 39.0 attempts for 240.3 passing yards. Our model forecasts the Bills will rush for 0.5 touchdowns against the Patriots defense on 29.2 attempts for a projected 107.1 yards.

According to the odds and a forecasted 63.0% chance to beat the +7.0 point spread, the Bills are the best value. Based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 42.0 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 07:29:32 MST