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Tue, Dec 29, 2021 | Rob Otto
2020-12-29 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Bills have a 47.1% chance to lose to the home town Patriots.
In their hometown, the Patriots are forecast to score 21.0 points. The Snoozle football model estimates the Patriots will throw 22.2 competitions on 32.9 attempts against the Bills with an estimated 0.1 interception for a total of 221.9 yards and 1.3 passing touchdowns. Our model forecasts the Patriots will rush for 1.0 touchdowns against the Bills defense on 31.3 attempts for a projected 162.9 yards.
The Snoozle model forecast the Bills to score 20.9 points on the road. The Snoozle football model predicts Bills will throw 24.0 competitions on 37.4 attempts against the Patriots with a forecasted 0.1 interception for a total of 267.1 yards and 1.6 touchdowns. The Bills are estimated from the model to rush for 0.8 touchdowns against Patriots with 25.0 rush attempts for 138.0 yards.
According to the odds and a forecasted 62.8% chance to beat the +7.0 point spread, the Patriots are the best value. With an over/under of 46.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 66.3% over likelihood and -110 odds.
Posted at Tue, December 29, 2020 13:04:27 UTC