Patriots Forecasted to Lose at Home to Dolphins

Sun, Dec 20, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-12-20 -- The Patriots predicted with a 67.4% chance to chalk up a road loss against the Dolphins based on the Snoozle Sports model

Based on the montecarlo model, the Patriots have an average of 14.2 points for the game. The Patriots are predicted from the model to throw for 184.1 yards on 29.1 attempts for 17.8 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 0.8 touchdowns and 0.1 interception. Our model forecasts the Patriots will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the Dolphins defense on 28.5 attempts for a projected 134.2 yards.

The Dolphins are predicted to score 23.6 points on the home turf against Patriots. The Dolphins are estimated from the model to throw for 322.1 yards on 44.3 attempts for 26.9 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.9 touchdowns and 1.3 interceptions. The model estimates the Dolphins will run on 27.4 attempts against the Patriots with an estimated total of 134.7 yards and 0.8 rushing touchdowns.

According to the odds and a forecasted 65.4% chance to beat the -1.5 point spread, the Dolphins are the best value. Based on the prediction model's over 67.9% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 41.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sun, December 20, 2020 13:01:48 UTC