Sun, Sep 22, 2019 | Emma Botos
jnashboulden on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License
September 22, 2019 -- The Padres likely winner at home over the Diamondbacks with a 62.02% of being correct based on our model.
Likely starting pitcher Garrett Richards for the Padres will be matched up with the Diamondbacks probable starter Robbie Ray. Garrett Richards is estimated from the model to throw for 6.948 innings, allowing 1.928 earned runs, with 6.551 K. The Diamondbacks starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.446 outs, allow 2.559 earned runs, and a 0.010 probability of a complete game.
Hitters Hunter Renfroe from the Padres and Alex Avila from the Diamondbacks will lead the offense for their teams. The Padres's Hunter Renfroe is estimated to score 0.592 runs, 0.750 RBIs and have a 0.290 OBP. The Diamondbacks's Alex Avila C from the plate is forecast to score 0.413 runs, 0.455 RBIs and have a 0.347 OBP.
Based on the -103 odds and an estimated 62.02% chance to win, the Padres are the best value for the money line. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 56.05% over estimate and -114 line odds for 8.5 runs.
Posted at Sun, September 22, 2019 13:05:38 UTC