Padres Hurler Dinelson Lamet Forecasted Loser at Home Against Cubs

Thu, Sep 12, 2019 | Emma Botos

 Tweet 

Yu Darvish on August 5, 2017.
D. Benjamin Miller License

September 12, 2019 -- The Padres under perform at home with a 66.07% chance to lose against the Cubs based on our model.

Probable starting pitchers Dinelson Lamet and Yu Darvish duel it out for the Padres and Cubs, respectively. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Dinelson Lamet will have 2.540 earned runs, a predicted 21.461 outs, and 6.498 strike outs. The Cubs starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 22.727 outs, allow 1.814 earned runs, and a 0.031 probability of a complete game.

In a hitting matchup, Wil Myers of the Padres will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Willson Contreras. The Padres's Wil Myers is estimated to score 0.376 runs, 0.454 RBIs and have a 0.293 OBP. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Willson Contreras is predicted to bat for 0.271 with 0.743 RBIs and 0.594 runs scored.

The Cubs are the best value for the money line based on the -147 odds and a forecasted 66.07% win estimate. With a predicted 57.05% likelihood and -119 odds at 8.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, September 12, 2019 13:05:20 UTC