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Padres Forecasted to Lose at Home to Reds Despite Manny Machado's Effort

Tue, Aug 20, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Sonny Gray
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

August 20, 2019 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Padres have a 57.33% chance to lose to the home town Reds.

Likely visiting starter Cal Quantrill will will duel it out with the Reds probable starter Sonny Gray. The Padres's Cal Quantrill is predicted to throw for 6.820 innings, allowing 2.232 earned runs, with 6.816 Ks. Our model forecasts the Reds pitcher will have an outing for 6.964 innings, allowing 1.912 earned runs, with a 2.696 walks.

In a hitting matchup, Manny Machado of the Padres will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Aristides Aquino. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Manny Machado is predicted to bat for 0.231 with 0.538 RBIs and 0.476 runs scored. According to our game model, Aristides Aquino is estimated to bring in 0.960 RBIs and 0.751 run scored, with an 0.341 OBP and 1.018 Ks.

With +150 money line odds and a estimated 42.67% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Padres over the Padres. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 57.82% over estimate and -105 line odds for 8.5 runs.

Posted at Tue, August 20, 2019 13:04:08 UTC