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Fri, Jan 1, 2021 | Rob Otto
2021-01-03 -- The visiting Packers has an estimated 56.7% chance to overcome the Bears based on our football model.
Based on the montecarlo model, the Packers have an average of 20.1 points for the game. The Packers are predicted from the model to throw for 240.5 yards on 39.8 attempts for 23.6 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.3 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Packers will rush for 0.8 touchdowns against the Bears defense on 29.8 attempts for a projected 149.1 yards.
The Bears are estimated to score 16.2 points at home. Our model forecasts the Bears will pass for 1.1 touchdown and 0.1 interception against the Packers defense on a projected 25.7 competitions with 39.4 attempts for 239.3 passing yards. The Bears are forecast to rush for 121.7 yards on 24.4 attempts with an estimated 0.6 rushing touchdowns.
The Bears are the best value for the ATS based on a predicted 53.5% estimated to cover a +5.5 spread. The over/under line of 51.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 67.3% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Fri, January 1, 2021 13:05:18 UTC