Packers Led by Their Offense at Home Expected to Beat the Vikings

Sat, Oct 31, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-11-01 -- The Packers are predicted to win over the visiting Vikings based a 52.7% win prediction from the football model.

At home, the Packers are forecast to score 23.2 points. Our model forecasts the Packers will pass for 1.8 touchdowns and 1.7 interceptions against the Vikings defense on a projected 23.7 competitions with 39.1 attempts for 285.5 passing yards. The model estimates the Packers will run on 28.7 attempts against the Vikings with an estimated total of 128.2 yards and 0.8 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Vikings have an average of 20.9 points for the game. The Vikings are predicted from the model to throw for 292.1 yards on 35.1 attempts for 25.2 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.7 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Vikings will rush for 0.8 touchdowns against the Packers defense on 28.3 attempts for a projected 134.0 yards.

Based on a predicted 58.8% probability to cover a +6.5 spread, the Vikings are the best value for the ATS bets. Based on the prediction model's over 58.4% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 50.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sat, October 31, 2020 13:09:24 UTC