OSU with a Predicted Home Win Over Penn State

Tue, Nov 19, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-23 -- The Snoozle Sports football prediction model estimates OSU to take the home win over Penn State with a 71.5% estimate of being correct.

OSU is estimated to score 26.1 points at home. OSU is estimated from the model to throw for 255.9 yards on 33.3 attempts for 20.7 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.4 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions. Our model forecasts OSU will rush for 1.4 touchdowns against the Penn State defense on 48.0 attempts for a projected 222.6 yards.

Based on the montecarlo model, Penn State has an average of 16.9 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts Penn State will throw 16.5 competitions on 29.3 attempts against OSU with a forecasted 0.1 interception for a total of 210.4 yards and 1.0 touchdowns. Penn State is predicted to run for 159.6 yards on 38.7 attempts with an estimated 0.7 touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 70.0% probability to cover a +18.0 spread, Penn State is the best value for the ATS bets. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 61.5% over estimate and -110 line odds for 56.0 runs.

Posted at Tue, November 19, 2019 13:00:43 UTC