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Orioles Predicted to Fall at Home to Rays Despite Trey Mancini's Effort
Sun, Aug 25, 2019 | Emma Botos
Dylan Bundy
Keith Allison on Flickr License
August 25, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Orioles are predicted with a 66.91% to lose at home against the Rays.
This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Orioles's Dylan Bundy and the Rays's Diego Castillo. The Orioles starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.163 outs, allow 2.683 earned runs, and a 0.007 probability of a complete game. Diego Castillo is estimated to have 1.729 earned runs, 23.114 outs, and 6.458 strike outs.
Trey Mancini, Orioles's top hitter, will slug it out against Travis d'Arnaud in today's game. Based on the Snoozle model, Trey Mancini is predicted to have 0.467 RBIs and score 0.505 runs over an estimated 4.121 at-bats. According to our game model, Travis d'Arnaud is estimated to have 0.915 RBIs and score 0.606 runs over an estimated 4.268 at-bats.
For this game the Rays are the best value on the money line bets with on the -170 away odds and a predicted 66.91% likelihood to win. With a predicted 63.07% likelihood and -105 odds at 9.5 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Sun, August 25, 2019 13:04:25 UTC