Orioles Led By Pitcher John Means on the Road Predicted to Beat the Tigers

Mon, Sep 16, 2019 | Emma Botos


The Baltimore Orioles visit the United States Naval Academy in March 2019 This file is a work of a sailor or employee of the U.S. Navy, taken or made as part of that person's official duties. As a work of the U.S. federal government, it is in the public domain in the United States.
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September 16, 2019 -- The visiting Orioles has an estimated 65.48% chance to overcome the Tigers based on our model.

This game is a match up between the Orioles's John Means and the Tigers's Tyler Alexander. The Orioles's John Means is predicted to throw for 7.283 innings, allowing 1.638 earned runs, with 8.384 Ks. The Tigers starting hurler is predicted to throw for 22.375 outs, allow 2.087 earned runs, and a 0.020 probability of a complete game.

In a hitting matchup, Trey Mancini of the Orioles will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Jordy Mercer. According to our game model, Trey Mancini is estimated to have 0.593 RBIs and score 0.599 runs over an estimated 4.298 at-bats. Based on the Snoozle model, Jordy Mercer is predicted to have 0.397 RBIs and score 0.350 runs over an estimated 4.154 at-bats.

With -154 money line odds and a estimated 65.48% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Orioles over the Tigers. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 79.29% over estimate and -130 line odds for 9.5 runs.

Posted at Mon, September 16, 2019 13:04:13 UTC