Orioles Forecasted to Lose at Home to Diamondbacks Despite Chance Sisco's Effort

Tue, Jul 23, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Dylan Bundy
Keith Allison on Flickr License

July 23, 2019 -- The Orioles predicted with a 64.18% chance to chalk up a road loss against the Diamondbacks based on the Snoozle Sports model

This game is a match up between the Orioles's Dylan Bundy and the Diamondbacks's Merrill Kelly. The Snoozle model estimates the Orioles pitcher will have an outing for 6.583 innings, allowing 2.563 earned runs, with 3.236 walks. Our model forecasts the Diamondbacks pitcher will have an outing for 7.170 innings, allowing 1.620 earned runs, with a 2.006 walks.

Chance Sisco, Orioles's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Ketel Marte in today's game. The Orioles's Chance Sisco C from the plate is forecast to score 0.558 runs, 0.517 RBIs and have a 0.342 OBP. The Diamondbacks's Ketel Marte CF is estimated to score 0.718 runs, 0.638 RBIs and have a 0.365 OBP.

Based on the -170 odds and an estimated 64.18% chance to win, the Diamondbacks are the best value for the money line. The over/under line of 9.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 67.25% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Tue, July 23, 2019 22:01:56 MST