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Orioles's Starting Pitcher Gabriel Ynoa with a Predicted Win Over the Odds Favorite Tigers

Sat, Sep 14, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Gabriel Ynoa
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

September 14, 2019 -- According to our model, the Orioles predicted to over perform on the road against the Tigers with a 55.55% chance to win.

The Orioles have Gabriel Ynoa as the probable starting pitcher against Daniel Norris. The Orioles starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.671 outs, allow 2.513 earned runs, and a 0.010 probability of a complete game. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Daniel Norris will have 2.611 earned runs, a predicted 21.463 outs, and 6.182 strike outs.

Sluggers Trey Mancini from the Orioles and Jordy Mercer from the Tigers will lead the their teams from the batter's box. Trey Mancini is forecast to bring in 0.714 RBIs and 0.626 runs scored, with an 0.359 OBP and 1.015 Ks. The Tigers's Jordy Mercer is estimated to score 0.482 runs, 0.573 RBIs and have a 0.326 OBP.

For this game the Orioles are the best value on the money line bets with on the +116 away odds and a predicted 55.55% likelihood to win. With a predicted 58.36% likelihood and -115 odds at 9.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Sat, September 14, 2019 13:05:16 UTC