Orioles's Starting Hurler John Means with a Predicted Home Win Over the Mariners

Sun, Sep 22, 2019 | Emma Botos


Seattle Mariners pitcher Marco Gonzales throwing against the Houston Astros on August 22, 2018.
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September 22, 2019 -- The Orioles likely winner at home over the Mariners with a 67.06% of being correct based on our model.

Likely starting pitcher John Means for the Orioles will be matched up with the Mariners probable starter Marco Gonzales. John Means is estimated from the model to throw for 7.265 innings, allowing 1.564 earned runs, with 6.937 Ks. Marco Gonzales is estimated to have 2.570 earned runs, 21.517 outs, and 5.476 strike outs.

In a hitting matchup, Trey Mancini of the Orioles will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Kyle Lewis. Based on the Snoozle model, Trey Mancini is predicted to have 0.675 RBIs and score 0.649 runs over an estimated 4.263 at-bats. Kyle Lewis is forecast to bring in 0.615 RBIs and 0.492 runs scored, with an 0.288 OBP and 1.200 Ks.

With -127 money line odds and a forecasted 67.06% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Orioles over the Mariners. With a predicted 67.95% likelihood and -117 odds at 9.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Sun, September 22, 2019 13:05:38 UTC