Orioles's Starting Hurler Dylan Bundy with a Predicted Home Win Over the Blue Jays

Wed, Sep 18, 2019 | Emma Botos


Clay Buchholz
Keith Allison on Flickr License

September 18, 2019 -- The Orioles likely winner at home over the Blue Jays with a 60.90% of being correct based on our model.

Likely starting pitcher Dylan Bundy for the Orioles will be matched up with the Blue Jays probable starter Clay Buchholz. Dylan Bundy is estimated from the model to throw for 6.770 innings, allowing 2.247 earned runs, with 7.540 Ks. The Blue Jays starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 20.580 outs, allow 3.124 earned runs, and a 0.004 probability of a complete game.

Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Trey Mancini and Bo Bichette from Orioles and Blue Jays, respectively. The Orioles's Trey Mancini is estimated to score 0.828 runs, 0.754 RBIs and have a 0.379 OBP. According to our game model, Bo Bichette is estimated to have 0.599 RBIs and score 0.770 runs over an estimated 4.580 at-bats.

With -109 money line odds and a forecasted 60.90% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Orioles over the Blue Jays. According to prediction model the 55.49% over estimate and -115 line odds for 9.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Wed, September 18, 2019 06:53:59 MST