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Tue, Oct 8, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-10-12 -- UNLV with a 88.7% forecasted chance to beat Vanderbilt on the road based on the Snoozle football model.
Based on the montecarlo model, UNLV has an average of 36.9 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts UNLV will throw 24.0 competitions on 45.5 attempts against Vanderbilt with a forecasted 1.6 interceptions for a total of 292.7 yards and 1.9 touchdowns. UNLV is estimated from the model to rush for 2.6 touchdowns against Vanderbilt with 47.1 rush attempts for 403.4 yards.
In their hometown, Vanderbilt is forecast to score 14.7 points. Vanderbilt is expected to throw for 0.9 touchdowns with 34.7 pass attempts with 19.3 competitions for 217.3 yards, and an estimated 0.6 interceptions. Our model forecasts Vanderbilt will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the UNLV defense on 24.0 attempts for a projected 118.0 yards.
For this game, UNLV is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 88.7% probability to beat the +14.5 point spread. According to prediction model the 54.9% over estimate and -110 line odds for 59.0 runs, the over line is the best value.
Posted at Tue, October 8, 2019 17:12:42 UTC