On the Road UNC Forecasted to Beat Favored Pitt

Tue, Nov 12, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-14 -- UNC with a 50.8% forecasted chance to beat Pitt on the road based on the Snoozle football model.

On the road, UNC is forecast to score 16.5 points against Pitt. Our model forecasts UNC will pass for 1.0 touchdowns and 1.0 interceptions against the Pitt defense on a forecasted 15.0 competitions with 33.2 attempts for 197.4 yards. Our model forecasts UNC will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Pitt defense on 32.9 attempts for a projected 150.6 yards.

Pitt is predicted to score 16.4 points on the home turf against UNC. The Snoozle football model estimates Pitt will throw 25.3 competitions on 41.3 attempts against UNC with an estimated 0.0 interceptions for a total of 268.5 yards and 1.2 passing touchdowns. Our model forecasts Pitt will rush for 0.5 touchdowns against the UNC defense on 31.3 attempts for a projected 120.2 yards.

Based on a predicted 63.4% probability to cover a +5.0 spread, UNC is the best value for the ATS bets. The over/under line of 49.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 73.5% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Tue, November 12, 2019 13:00:40 UTC