On the Road Temple Forecasted to Beat Favored SMU

Tue, Oct 15, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-10-19 -- According to our model, Temple predicted to over perform on the road against SMU with a 55.2% chance to win.

Based on the montecarlo model, Temple has an average of 22.1 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts Temple will throw 23.3 competitions on 38.3 attempts against SMU with a forecasted 0.8 interceptions for a total of 248.3 yards and 1.4 touchdowns. Our model forecasts Temple will rush for 1.0 touchdowns against the SMU defense on 42.7 attempts for a projected 214.4 yards.

At home, SMU is forecast to score 20.1 points. SMU is expected to throw for 1.1 touchdown with 31.8 pass attempts with 17.2 competitions for 213.7 yards, and an estimated 0.9 interceptions. SMU is forecast to rush for 163.3 yards on 37.7 attempts with an estimated 0.8 rushing touchdowns.

Temple is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 71.5% likelihood estimate to cover a +7.5 point spread. With a predicted 71.8% likelihood and -110 odds at 59.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, October 15, 2019 17:03:34 UTC