On the Road Purdue Forecasted to Beat Favored Northwestern

Tue, Nov 5, 2019 | Consuelo Machina

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2019-11-09 -- The visiting Purdue has an estimated 86.2% chance to overcome Northwestern based on our football model.

Based on the montecarlo model, Purdue has an average of 24.8 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts Purdue will throw 32.6 competitions on 51.0 attempts against Northwestern with a forecasted 1.2 interceptions for a total of 362.1 yards and 2.0 touchdowns. The model predicts Purdue will rush on 33.1 attempts against Northwestern with an estimated total of 96.8 yards and 0.5 running touchdowns.

Northwestern is estimated to score 9.6 points at home. Northwestern is expected to throw for 0.3 touchdowns with 32.6 pass attempts with 15.5 competitions for 123.9 yards, and an estimated 0.6 interceptions. Northwestern is predicted from the model to run for 0.4 touchdowns against Purdue with 38.0 rush attempts for 148.3 yards.

An estimated 87.1% likelihood to beat a +1.0 point spread, the best value is on Purdue in their matchup against Northwestern. With an over/under of 40.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 60.6% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Tue, November 5, 2019 13:00:53 UTC