On the Road Packers Forecasted to Beat Favored Vikings

Mon, Sep 7, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-09-13 -- The visiting Packers has an estimated 47.1% chance to overcome the Vikings based on our football model.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Packers have an average of 17.2 points for the game. Our model forecasts Packers will pass for 1.2 touchdowns and 1.6 interceptions against the Vikings defense on a forecasted 21.6 competitions with 37.9 attempts for 239.4 yards. The Packers are predicted to run for 133.8 yards on 26.8 attempts with an estimated 0.7 touchdowns.

The Vikings are estimated to score 17.5 points at home. The Vikings are expected to throw for 1.2 touchdowns with 37.2 pass attempts with 22.1 competitions for 221.6 yards, and an estimated 1.8 interceptions. The Vikings are predicted from the model to run for 0.7 touchdowns against Packers with 29.1 rush attempts for 141.9 yards.

For this game, the Packers are the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 47.1% probability to beat the +3.5 point spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 56.6% over estimate and -110 line odds for 46.5 runs.

Posted at Mon, September 7, 2020 11:09:04 MST