On the Road Oregon Forecasted to Beat Favored USC

Wed, Dec 16, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-12-18 -- According to our model, Oregon predicted to over perform on the road against USC with a 59.2% chance to win.

On the road, Oregon is forecast to score 29.1 points against USC. The Snoozle football model predicts Oregon will throw 22.7 competitions on 37.7 attempts against USC with a forecasted 1.7 interceptions for a total of 276.1 yards and 1.9 touchdowns. The model predicts Oregon will rush on 38.7 attempts against USC with an estimated total of 223.5 yards and 1.3 running touchdowns.

USC is predicted to score 24.4 points on the home turf against Oregon. USC is estimated from the model to throw for 318.1 yards on 36.7 attempts for 31.1 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.9 touchdowns and 2.1 interception. USC is forecast to rush for 156.1 yards on 36.3 attempts with an estimated 0.9 rushing touchdowns.

For this game, Oregon is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 59.2% probability to beat the +3.0 point spread. Based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 62.5 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Wed, December 16, 2020 13:00:39 UTC