On the Road Navy Forecasted to Beat Favored SMU

Sat, Oct 31, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-10-31 -- Navy is predicted with a 84.0% for a road win against SMU.

Based on the montecarlo model, Navy has an average of 38.7 points for the game. Navy is forecast to pass for 3.1 touchdown on 40.5 pass attempts with 31.0 competitions for 407.6 yards, and a predicted 0.6 interceptions. The model predicts Navy will rush on 40.1 attempts against SMU with an estimated total of 219.1 yards and 1.6 running touchdowns.

At home, SMU is forecast to score 19.3 points. The Snoozle football model estimates SMU will throw 17.8 competitions on 29.9 attempts against Navy with an estimated 2.1 interception for a total of 280.8 yards and 1.7 passing touchdowns. The model estimates SMU will run on 29.2 attempts against Navy with an estimated total of 90.7 yards and 0.4 rushing touchdowns.

An estimated 95.3% likelihood to beat a +13.0 point spread, the best value is on Navy in their matchup against SMU. Based on the prediction model's over 73.9% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 59.0 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sat, October 31, 2020 13:00:25 UTC