On the Road Liberty Forecasted to Beat Favored UVA

Tue, Nov 19, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-23 -- Liberty with a 60.0% forecasted chance to beat UVA on the road based on the Snoozle football model.

Based on the montecarlo model, Liberty has an average of 24.1 points for the game. Our model forecasts Liberty will pass for 1.8 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions against the UVA defense on a forecasted 22.9 competitions with 43.1 attempts for 319.9 yards. Liberty is estimated from the model to rush for 0.9 touchdowns against UVA with 32.0 rush attempts for 162.8 yards.

In their hometown, UVA is forecast to score 20.2 points. Our model forecasts UVA will pass for 1.4 touchdowns and 0.4 interceptions against the Liberty defense on a projected 26.7 competitions with 43.9 attempts for 281.9 passing yards. Our model forecasts UVA will rush for 0.8 touchdowns against the Liberty defense on 31.7 attempts for a projected 165.7 yards.

An estimated 89.1% likelihood to beat a +17.0 point spread, the best value is on Liberty in their matchup against UVA. With a predicted 55.8% likelihood and -110 odds at 55.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, November 19, 2019 13:00:43 UTC