On the Road Indiana Forecasted to Beat Favored Wisconsin

Sat, Dec 5, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-12-05 -- Indiana with a 75.6% forecasted chance to beat Wisconsin on the road based on the Snoozle football model.

Indiana is predicted to score 23.7 points against their opponent. Our model forecasts Indiana will pass for 1.9 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions against the Wisconsin defense on a forecasted 24.9 competitions with 33.3 attempts for 304.0 yards. The model predicts Indiana will rush on 33.0 attempts against Wisconsin with an estimated total of 155.9 yards and 0.9 running touchdowns.

Wisconsin is estimated to score 12.1 points at home. Our model forecasts Wisconsin will pass for 0.7 touchdowns and 1.5 interceptions against the Indiana defense on a projected 17.2 competitions with 22.1 attempts for 161.2 passing yards. The model estimates Wisconsin will run on 42.9 attempts against Indiana with an estimated total of 123.8 yards and 0.5 rushing touchdowns.

Indiana is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 94.4% likelihood estimate to cover a +13.5 point spread. Based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 45.0 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Sat, December 5, 2020 13:00:27 UTC